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Crown Green Handicap

Lynn Bailey

Team: Pensby BDivision: League 3Last updated: 10/24/2026

Rating

705

Current Handicap

12
Honours
Season:

57

Matches Played

28

Wins

29

Losses

49%

Win Rate

7.1

Avg Win Margin

7.9

Avg Loss Margin

17-10

Home Record

11-19

Away Record

100%

Handicap Confidence

Very Reliable
53 / 39 matches for full confidence· Last recorded match: 8/21/2026

A large recent sample: 53 matches in the 2024, 2025, 2026 window, comfortably past the 39-match benchmark for full confidence. The handicap is stable and only shifts as form changes.

Milestones

Career

No career milestones yet — keep bowling!

Next goal: Hot Streak 1510/15
✦SEASON HIGHLIGHTS
2026
10-Game Streak10 in a row

Handicap Trend

All Time · 57 matches

+12 Rising
Win on the night Loss on the nightLower handicap = stronger player

The line re-checks the handicap after every match — from results, winning and losing margins, the strength of who was played, and home or away. Each dot is the number that applied going into the next game.

17 May19 Jul9 May20 Jun11 Aug5 Jun10 Jul21 Aug-1371115

Gives 12 more chalks than at the start of this period.

Started0
Lowest0
Current12
Win Percentage(40%)
53%
score+0.06→contribution+0.02
Avg Winning Margin(25%)
7.1
score-0.15→contribution-0.04
Avg Losing Margin(15%)
7.4
score+0.09→contribution+0.01
Recent Form (last 20)(10%)
70%
score+0.40→contribution+0.04
Opponent Strength(10%)
687
score-0.30→contribution-0.03
Weighted Score+0.009
Sample Size Confidence
100%(53/39 matches)
Rating1005 → shrunk 1005→ adjusted 705
Recent 3-Season Rating (2024, 2025, 2026)705
Recency Blend40% (53 recent matches)
Final Rating705
Handicap
12

Formula: Rating = 1000 + (weighted score × 500). Each factor is normalized to −1…+1, multiplied by its weight, then summed. Window: factors are computed from the Handicap Calculation Years only (2024, 2025, 2026), excluding walkovers — the same window the official recalculation uses. Bayesian shrinkage: the raw rating is pulled toward 1000 by confidence (window matches ÷ 39, an adaptive threshold set by the last recalculation). Offsets: division and B/C/D team offsets are then applied, weighted by where each window match was played. Recency blend: the calculation years are re-weighted at up to 40% by match volume. Players with a long career but fewer than 5 window matches fall back to their full career record. Rating maps to handicap 0–15 (lower = stronger) via the league's spread multiplier.

League

28W29L57 matches·49.1% win rate
-51 since first recorded
ClubSeasonsDivision(s)PWLWin %
Pensby B2023–2026League 357282949.1%
DateOpponentH/AScoreResultMarginCompetitionDivision
8/21/2026Jackie SnapeA12-21LOSS-9LeagueLeague 3
8/17/2026Jackie SnapeH11-21LOSS-10LeagueLeague 3
8/14/2026Stephen WheeldonA21-17WIN+4LeagueLeague 3
8/7/2026Katie JonesH21-15WIN+6LeagueLeague 3
7/31/2026Stewart JacksonA21-4WIN+17LeagueLeague 3
7/27/2026Albert StanleyH21-18WIN+3LeagueLeague 3
7/24/2026Mandy GreenH21-19WIN+2LeagueLeague 3
7/17/2026Sue StarkeyA21-8WIN+13LeagueLeague 3
7/10/2026Rob NunnH21-20WIN+1LeagueLeague 3
7/6/2026John GomersallA21-19WIN+2LeagueLeague 3
6/22/2026Anne ClaytonA21-16WIN+5LeagueLeague 3
6/19/2026Barry CalisterH21-10WIN+11LeagueLeague 3
6/15/2026Keith WilliamsA19-21LOSS-2LeagueLeague 3
6/12/2026Joe TaylorH21-18WIN+3LeagueLeague 3
6/8/2026Rita SimpsonA19-21LOSS-2LeagueLeague 3
6/5/2026Ronald WhyteH21-18WIN+3LeagueLeague 3
5/29/2026Graeme PickardH21-10WIN+11LeagueLeague 3
5/8/2026Doreen OMahonyH17-21LOSS-4LeagueLeague 3
5/1/2026Nick KavanaghA21-9WIN+12LeagueLeague 3
4/20/2026Maureen PercivalA15-21LOSS-6LeagueLeague 3
8/22/2025Gordon DitchfieldH17-21LOSS-4LeagueLeague 3
8/18/2025Anderew TurnerA11-21LOSS-10LeagueLeague 3
8/11/2025John LeeceA3-21LOSS-18LeagueLeague 3
7/25/2025Derek AyreA4-21LOSS-17LeagueLeague 3
7/21/2025Bob ThomasH21-16WIN+5LeagueLeague 3
7/18/2025Rob NunnA21-10WIN+11LeagueLeague 3
7/11/2025Sue JenkinsH21-17WIN+4LeagueLeague 3
7/7/2025Dave EatonA10-21LOSS-11LeagueLeague 3
6/27/2025Steve GarnerA21-11WIN+10LeagueLeague 3
6/20/2025vs Port Sunlight Village & Works BH21-20WIN+1LeagueLeague 3
6/13/2025Gillian McalenyA16-21LOSS-5LeagueLeague 3
6/9/2025Linda HowardH21-15WIN+6LeagueLeague 3
6/6/2025David HayA15-21LOSS-6LeagueLeague 3
5/30/2025Howard FernH17-21LOSS-4LeagueLeague 3
5/23/2025Dee ButlerA13-21LOSS-8LeagueLeague 3
5/16/2025Wendy EastwoodH21-6WIN+15LeagueLeague 3
5/9/2025Steve HowlandA17-21LOSS-4LeagueLeague 3
5/2/2025Colin BrownH21-18WIN+3LeagueLeague 3
4/25/2025Philip TaylorA14-21LOSS-7LeagueLeague 3
8/23/2024Peter FavagerA17-21LOSS-4LeagueLeague 3
8/5/2024Edward ConnorA21-12WIN+9LeagueLeague 3
8/2/2024Pat McloughlinH16-21LOSS-5LeagueLeague 3
7/26/2024Dave EdwardsA9-21LOSS-12LeagueLeague 3
7/19/2024Brian ChellamH20-21LOSS-1LeagueLeague 3
7/15/2024Katie WoodA10-21LOSS-11LeagueLeague 3
7/5/2024Stephen CorriganH15-21LOSS-6LeagueLeague 3
6/28/2024Mike PillingA21-17WIN+4LeagueLeague 3
6/7/2024Derek PotterH7-21LOSS-14LeagueLeague 3
6/3/2024Tony McdonoughA15-21LOSS-6LeagueLeague 3
5/31/2024Mike WorthyH21-13WIN+8LeagueLeague 3
5/17/2024John McgibbonH21-16WIN+5LeagueLeague 3
4/26/2024Zoe NunnH21-10WIN+11LeagueLeague 3
4/22/2024Michelle CaffinA21-7WIN+14LeagueLeague 3
8/18/2023Michael WishartA0-21LOSS-21LeagueLeague 3
8/11/2023Babs WoodwardH10-21LOSS-11LeagueLeague 3
8/4/2023Pauline HerseeH13-21LOSS-8LeagueLeague 3
7/31/2023vs Great MeolsA18-21LOSS-3LeagueLeague 3
Cec Hannay Rose Bowl4 games · 1W
20262 rounds
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Round of 32 RoundLuke RoweNew Brighton Quarry Vikings D12-21LOSSWON
Round of 16 RoundBrian SomervilleWest Kirby Victoria10-21LOSSLOST
20251 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Round of 32 RoundNeil HenningGreat Meols10-21LOSSLOST
20241 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Round of 32 RoundDave CrostonManor Road B21-20WINLOST
Cartwright Cup2 games · 0W
20251 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Preliminary RoundEthel (etty) JonesTixall B14-21LOSSLOST
20241 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Preliminary RoundBill AtkinsonHoylake Central & Melrose B14-21LOSSLOST

Current Streak

2losses

In a slump

Longest Win Run

10

Career best winning streak

Longest Loss Run

5

Career worst losing streak

Last 560% win rate
LLWWW
Last 1080% win rate↓ declining
LLWWWWWWWW
OpponentWLTotalWin %Last Met
Jackie Snape0220%8/21/2026
Rob Nunn202100%7/10/2026
Stephen Wheeldon101100%8/14/2026
Katie Jones101100%8/7/2026
Stewart Jackson101100%7/31/2026
Albert Stanley101100%7/27/2026
Mandy Green101100%7/24/2026
Sue Starkey101100%7/17/2026
John Gomersall101100%7/6/2026
Anne Clayton101100%6/22/2026
Biggest Win
Stewart Jackson (+17)7/31/2026
Heaviest Defeat
Michael Wishart (-21)8/18/2023
Best Season
202670% · 20 matches
Worst Season
202542% · 19 matches
Form Arc (1st half → 2nd half)
36% → 62%improving
Avg Opponent Rating Faced
69155 known · 2 unknown
vs Weak Opponents (rating < 1000)
27-2849% win rate
League 349.1%
28W·29L·57 played

Debut

Jul 31, 2023

Latest

Aug 21, 2026

Seasons Active

4 (3.1 yr span)

Matches / Season

14.3 (57 total)

Seasons

2023202420252026